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Saturday, January 30, 2016
Friday, January 22, 2016
Iran: The Rising Monster of Sassanid Dynasty
Lifting of UN sanctions have brought smiles on 80 million faces of people living on Iranian soil but without a doubt many living outside are worried about the future discourse of this hegemonic state. Iran, presently an average income country will be soon as rich as the Gulf States are. In the wake of lifting of sanctions Iran will be able to export 500,000 barrel of oil per day immediately without making any additional arrangements which can be increased to 1 million barrels per day by the end of this year. This huge export of oil will add an additional 30-40 billion dollars to Iranian economy each year. Apart from huge additional
revenues by unleashing the oil flood, Iran will be able to export gas worth billions of
dollars in a very short time. Iran, after Russia, has the second largest natural gas reserves in the
World. This unmatched potential of energy resources gives leading edge to Iran
over its regional counterparts. According to US Energy Information Administration,
it is predicted that by the year 2030, Iran will be able to add 250 billion dollars of revenue to
its economy. This huge inflow of money
will boost the Iranian economy to new heights. Thanks to two power hunger economic giants China and India, Iran doesn't need much effort to grab this
money. As tweeted by Iranian President Hassan Rohani in the eve of lifting of
sanctions, "our friends are happy and foes don’t need to be worried" but it’s not
possible for foes to stop worrying. For an instance, the Israeli
Prime Minister has expressed his grave concern over liberation of Iran from
sanctions. He has said now Iran will have sufficient money to fund Hezbollah
and Hamas. Both of them will have more sophisticated weaponry and sufficient resources to recruit 'terrorists' against Israel and State of Israel will be in deep trouble.
If it would have been true or limited to Israel only, Muslim World was at peace rather much pleased but it is not as such. Iran, to the best of my understanding, will have little attention towards Israel. Iran will also try to forget its enduring slogans of 'مرگ بر اسرائیل ' or 'مرگ بر امریکہ'. I believe Iran will focus to take its relations with India, Russia and China to new peeks. I also believe that Iran will emerge as much humble and responsible state with respect to Western World but, God forbid, Iran will be more furious towards lands which were once ruled by Sassanians.
Persians have seen such glory neither before Sassanians nor after them. After the Sassanians Iranian were ruled by Abbasids, Ummayads, Turks, Mongols and others, time to time. Persians remained subordinate to many but they never forget the magnificence of their glorious past. They were always struggling for the revival but couldn't succeeded till the arrival of Shah Ismail who not only founded Safavid dynasty but also provided patronage to Shiaism. In order to have an ideological and religious backing as the Ottomans were having in form of Islam, he sponsored and promoted Shiaism as 'Shia Islam'. Shah Ismail and his successors tried to create new epicenters for Shiaism by design. In Islam Makkah and Madina are sacred cities, they tried to gave Karbala such status. Instead of Muhammad (peace be upon him) and his companions Safavids tried to symbolize Hazrat Ali and Hazrat Hussain. They introduced new concept of Imams in the religion in the wave of making their own heroes. They modified popular understandings of Islam as per design which suited them better. But despite of all their efforts they could hardly managed to convince a minor segment of Muslims towards their version of Islam. Safavid seized wast lands in North and South of present day Iran and established huge empire. Shiaism provided them incomparable support but they couldn't make it matching with Sassanid dynasty in any way. They remained in power till Qajar ended their rule after a civil war. Qajar and after them Pehlvi also tried to follow footsteps of their predecessor emperors to gain the lost glory of Sassanids on the hands of Arabs but could't succeeded. Every ruler of Iran had an imagination of restoring the lost glory of Persian Empire. In this race of glorifying their past the last king of Iran Raza Shah Pehlvi crossed all limits. He after a decade long preparations in 1971, started celebrations of 2500 years of Persian Empire. Arabs and Sunni Muslims around the World happily and proudly associate themselves with the emergence of Islam in 521 but Iranians are having a total contrary feelings. They proudly call themselves sons of Cyrus who some 2500 years ago founded the Persian Empire in Persipolis near present day Iranian city of Shiraz.
If it would have been true or limited to Israel only, Muslim World was at peace rather much pleased but it is not as such. Iran, to the best of my understanding, will have little attention towards Israel. Iran will also try to forget its enduring slogans of 'مرگ بر اسرائیل ' or 'مرگ بر امریکہ'. I believe Iran will focus to take its relations with India, Russia and China to new peeks. I also believe that Iran will emerge as much humble and responsible state with respect to Western World but, God forbid, Iran will be more furious towards lands which were once ruled by Sassanians.
Before the rise of Arabs, the World was known to only two super powers The Romans and The Persians/Iranians under Sassanian rulers. Arab General Saad bin Abi Waqas defeated one of the greatest Sassanian warriors Rustam, in the bettal of Qadsiyyah in the year 636 breaking the backbone of Sassanian empire. After Qadsiyyah Sassanian could confront Arabs only at Nahawand in 641 where they faced the final defeat. The last emperor of Sassanid dynasty Yazdegard-III died in exile in China around 653. His death officially marked the end of the Sassanid royal lineage and empire.The following map shows the regions once ruled by the Sassanians. According to this map, Persian rule was extended from Russia to Africa on one side and from present day Pakistan to Basphorus Trait on the other hand. Excluding todays Saudi Arabia, whole of Gulf was also part of this huge empire.
Persians have seen such glory neither before Sassanians nor after them. After the Sassanians Iranian were ruled by Abbasids, Ummayads, Turks, Mongols and others, time to time. Persians remained subordinate to many but they never forget the magnificence of their glorious past. They were always struggling for the revival but couldn't succeeded till the arrival of Shah Ismail who not only founded Safavid dynasty but also provided patronage to Shiaism. In order to have an ideological and religious backing as the Ottomans were having in form of Islam, he sponsored and promoted Shiaism as 'Shia Islam'. Shah Ismail and his successors tried to create new epicenters for Shiaism by design. In Islam Makkah and Madina are sacred cities, they tried to gave Karbala such status. Instead of Muhammad (peace be upon him) and his companions Safavids tried to symbolize Hazrat Ali and Hazrat Hussain. They introduced new concept of Imams in the religion in the wave of making their own heroes. They modified popular understandings of Islam as per design which suited them better. But despite of all their efforts they could hardly managed to convince a minor segment of Muslims towards their version of Islam. Safavid seized wast lands in North and South of present day Iran and established huge empire. Shiaism provided them incomparable support but they couldn't make it matching with Sassanid dynasty in any way. They remained in power till Qajar ended their rule after a civil war. Qajar and after them Pehlvi also tried to follow footsteps of their predecessor emperors to gain the lost glory of Sassanids on the hands of Arabs but could't succeeded. Every ruler of Iran had an imagination of restoring the lost glory of Persian Empire. In this race of glorifying their past the last king of Iran Raza Shah Pehlvi crossed all limits. He after a decade long preparations in 1971, started celebrations of 2500 years of Persian Empire. Arabs and Sunni Muslims around the World happily and proudly associate themselves with the emergence of Islam in 521 but Iranians are having a total contrary feelings. They proudly call themselves sons of Cyrus who some 2500 years ago founded the Persian Empire in Persipolis near present day Iranian city of Shiraz.
In 1979 religious tyrants successfully toppled the Shah's regime in a popular 'Islamic Revolution' and turned Iran into an 'Islamic Republic'. Government changed, people in power replaced and nature of statehood converted to an altogether new form but believe me, frame of Persians mind of having renaissance of Sassanid dynasty haven't changed at all. There is a paradigm shift in their approach. They do realize that conquering Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Armenia and Azerbaijan and even Bahrain and Yemen is not possible militarily nowadays so way not try to conquer them ideologically. Yes, they are doing this now. Since 1979 the World has seen totally changed Shias across the World. They are having enough funding, technical and moral support as well as military trainings as and when required from Iran. This Iranian support has successfully turned many peaceful lands into war zones. Unfortunately most of lands once part of Sassanid dynasty are inhabited by Muslims nowadays therefor Iran never hesitates to join hands even with Hindus and Jews against Muslims living on these lands so that they can be once again integrated into greater Persian empire. With or without help of intruders, Iran has successfully established Shia rule in Iraq. Iran has deployed her regular army alongside Hezbollah in Syria to protect Shia regime of Bashar ul Asad while Lebanon is already under the control of Shia militia Hezbollah. Iran has supported Hothies Shias who successfully toppled the Muslim rule of Abd Rabbu Hadi Mansoor in Yemen. Iran is igniting fire against Sunni rulers of Bahrain where the population of Shias is in majority. Iran is encouraging centrifugal forces in Eastern province of Saudi Arabia and Nigeria. Yes, these all lands are away from Pakistan and we can indulge in conspiracy theories but what Iran is doing in Kurram Agency, Gilgit Baltistan and Baluchistan is not impossible to verify. Few months back it was reported in media that militants have stormed a bus near Herban town in Kohistan districts and killed all 16 passengers of the bus. The bus was heading to Gilgit. The actuality of this incident is restricted to very few. It is widely believed that these passengers were returning from Iran after having military training and their objective was to fuel the fire in Gilgit Baltistan area and this killing occurred on the hands of state agencies who knew about them. It may be much surprising for many across the country but it is a truth that Parachinar has become a 100% Shia territory now where not a single Muslim is allowed to live. Muslims of Hangu and surrounding areas of Parachinar believe that the weaponry Shias of Parachinar having is sufficient to combat a military offensive even.
This all happened when Iran was paralyzed by the UN sanctions. Till Jan 17, 2016 Iran was having a limited access to international markets. Her assets outside the country were seized and she was having a very little space to survive. But now the situation is changed. Sanctions have become the story of the past. Iran is flexing her muscles now. Additional income of 250 billion dollars will surely provide this wicked state with sufficient energy to destroy the peace of Muslim world, if any and fulfill the dream of renaissance of Sassanid dynasty.
Once upon a time there were Romans and Persians only. Romans are there again in the shape of Western World. Iran will try her level best to bring the Persians at parallel to them.
Muslims around the world don't have any objection on it but they are afraid to pay the cost. In the wake of lifting of sanctions from Iran, the world will have much cheaper oil, may be of 25$ a barrel only but the regions once part of Sassanid dynasty will bear the flames of blazing fire ignited by Iran as an attempt to revenge the defeat on hands of Arab General Saad bin Abi Waqas and restore the lost glory of the past.
Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Indian Steel King & Iron mines of Bamyan normalize Indo-Pak relations
Landing of Indian Prime Minister Modi
at Lahore airport without any announced schedule, having a family get together
with the family of Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif at his private
residence Jati Umra in Lahore surprised many across the boarders. Modi’s this
arrival from Kabul on his return from official visit of Russia make the event
more surprising rather suspicious. He had official engagements neither in
Afghanistan nor in Pakistan. Inauguration of Afghan Parliament building, which
is still incomplete (96% of civil works done till 25-12-2015) and having a cup
of tea with PM Nawaz Sharif can be shouted ‘official’ from the diplomats across
India-Pakistan-Afghanistan boarders but very few have bothered to pay any
attention. Than what's going on and what are the reasons behind this
mockery?
Series of events occurred in last one
and a half year among India-Pakistan and Afghanistan (IPA) transpire that
something fishy is happening around at least to the extent of India and
Pakistan. The fierce Modi of last year seams very humble now having ambition of
solving bilateral disputes on the table. In this scenario mountainous Hajigak
region of Bamyan province in Afghanistan with its stunning reserve of Iron ore
(1.8 billion metric tons approximately) and Sajjan Jindal, the Indian steel
tycoon knock the minds. Many of international organizations including of China,
Canada, Australia etc. are drooling over this largest iron reserve of the Asia
but very recently an Indian consortium having Sajjan Jindal’s JSW Steel as its
major, has been awarded exploration contract by the Afghan government. Awarding
a contract for an activity inside Afghanistan to anyone is the prerogative of
Afghan government upon which any of observation by the China or Pakistan don’t
have any meaning but interesting are the impacts of such contracting upon IPA
relations actually.
It is rightly said by many of Indians
as well as Pakistanis that better bilateral relations between the two warring
nations can change the fate of entire region but despite of having this desire,
no improvement arrives practically. But thanks to the Hajigak iron reserves,
situation is changing dramatically.
Veteran Indian TV journalist Barkha Dutt in her
book This Unquiet Land has stated that when Modi landed at Lahore
airport, Mr. Sajjan Jindal was already present there. He also joined hi-tea with
both PMs at Jati Umra. His this presence raised eyebrows of many around but
people known of his previous such encounters treated this as ‘normal’. Mr.
Jindal was also seen in Khathmandu, Nepal last year when Modi and Sharif had a
one hour secret meeting on the sideline of regional summit hosted by Nepal. Both
Indian and Pakistani foreign offices still deny occurrence of any such events
but insider have solid proofs that on facilitation and motivation of Sajjan
Jindal both PMs had an hour long meeting away from TV cameras. Long before this
gathering, invitation from India to Nawaz Sharif for joining the oath taking
ceremony of Modi as PM was also motivated by Jindal. He not only managed this
invitation but also convinced Nawaz Sharif to join. Later he arranged a tea
party for Nawaz Sharif and his sons. It is no more a secret that Jindal and
Hussain Nawaz Sharif are in close link nowadays because of their common interest
of steel business. It’s a fortunate coincidence for Sajjan Jindal that Pakistani
PM has a family business of steel which is well described in Urdu proverb بلی کے
بھاگوں چھینکا ٹوٹا. Very recently a photo of Modi and Nawaz Sharif published in
the media where both are having an informal discussion at Paris on the eve of
global summit held for marking Paris attacks. Many have taken it as usual but
insiders have a very different opinion. The insider’s story again reveals name
of Sajjan Jindal present around and facilitating this informal meeting.
Question arrives, why he is doing all
this? And the answer is, Iron reserves of Hajigak, very simple.
JSW Steel Ltd. of Sajjan Jindal is
the major stakeholder of the consortium which has won the mining rights of
Hajigak in Bamyan province of Afghanistan. This deal is not limited to the
extraction of Iron only but it includes establishment of a power generation unit
of 800 MW, installation of a steel mill with the capacity of 6.2 million ton per
annum (mtpa) and development of necessary infrastructure. In all this episode
Pakistan’s role is going to be very much important. Thanks to Allah for awarding
this country with such crucial strategic position. India can dig an Iron reserve
in Afghanistan, establish steel manufacturing units there and whatever else he
wanted to but India can’t take direct benefit bypassing Pakistan. If India wants
to transport the extraction of Hajigak mines and production of steel mill
established there through ChahBahar Port of Iran, its not impossible. It is
possible because India has already developed this port and a road linking this
port with Afghanistan for the trade with Afghanistan. A railway track is also
proposed from Chahbahar to Bamyan but this route is so long and difficult that
purchasing iron from Brazil or Australia will be far cheaper for India. The
safest and shortest way of transporting something from Bamyan to India crosses
through Pakistan either from Khyber Pass to Wahga boarder or through Broghol or
Dohra Pass in Chitral to downward Pakistan and than to Amritsar in India. Nawaz
Sharif has very recently announced a motorway link to Chitral from the Swabi
interchange at M-I while expansion of Torkham road is also in progress. Hence
these routes very much suites to JSW Steel for transportation of iron ore or
refined steel. But for utilizing this route, stable diplomatic relations between
India and Pakistan as well as Pakistan and Afghanistan matters a lot. In recent
days we have witnessed pleasant changes not only in gestures of Afghan president
Ashraf Ghani but also in Abdullah Abdullah, a long-standing rival of Pakistan.
Well, I may allowed to suggest, if
India appoint Mr. Sajjan Jindal as her special envoy for Pakistan and Pakistan
in return, declare Mian Muhammad Mansha for India, can’t say what will happen
to Kashmir issue, Sir Creek issue, Siachin issue, water disputes and the rest of
lengthy list of disputes between the two countries but I can surly say steel
business among India, Pakistan and Afghanistan will see new heights in near
future.
Friday, December 25, 2015
Improved Governance
Improving governance is not a rocket science though, yet it seems so in Pakistan perspective. Apart from previous attempts till date by the various civil and military rulers, the incumbent PML(N) has also deputed best of her available brain for reforming the governance structure. To an extent of satisfaction, every regime accurately diagnosed where the problem rests but the prescription of remedy has varied from government to government. From Civil Service reforms of ZA Bhutto to LGA and Police Orders of Pervaiz Musharaf through his crusader Tanvir Naqvi everyone came up with altogether different formulae for the purpose but none of them worked. Now this gigantic task has been assigned to Ehsan Iqbal. After years long deliberations He is aiming to introduce a new service cadre 'Executive Service of Pakistan'. After going through proceedings of this new idea, a verse from Mir Taqqi Mir Poem seems so much relevant to it;
میر کیا سادہ ہیں، بیمار ہوئَے جس کے سبب ---- اسی عطار کے لونڈے سے دوا لیتے ہیں
It is evident from the attempts of every ruling regime that they have rightly considered Pakistan Administrative Service (PAS) as a bottleneck and hindrance in implementation of their reforms agenda but PML(N) has relied upon PAS to reform PAS and they have put the idea of creating a new service comprising executives amongst them. How illogical and impractical this approach is! To the best of my understanding nothing as such required for improving governance. Instead below mentioned steps can guarantee achieving objectives.
Every civil servant strives for rational service structure with fair chance of career progression, just policy for posting and transfers and few of basic facilities including conveyance, housing, health & education for his dependents. For an instance, if the government could ensure
- Recruitments shall be made in specialized categories and the whole of one's service shall be restrict to that very category. His experience, investments in his capacity building by the government shall also be restricted to that category. This will solve the problem of unavailability of experience hands once for all.
- Every civil servant shall have 5-6 steps of promotion during his career on the basis of performance-cum-fitness-cum-seniority instead of seniority-cum-fitness. Basing seniority only for the promotion is an unjust and illogical approach. If one has managed to enter the service earlier, by whatever mean he did so, will stand first till the end is not a just approach at all. Performance should be given maximum weightage.
- Postings shall be made on rotational bases under a defined formula i.e. in every scale each of the servant shall serve in given service areas for certain periods and get transfers in a systematic way to the other service area.
- Every civil servant, in accordance with his pay scale, shall have the opportunity of availing conveyance facility. Car/motorcycle financing, in collaboration with any commercial bank, can address this issue without employing additional resources of public exchequer.
- Instead of paying medical allowance to the employee, government may enter into a contract with a leading insurance/takaful company for the purpose of medical coverage as being done across the globe. Same can be done for education facilities as well.
- An own house on retirement, is the dream of many civil servants. For making this dream come true, many indulge in malpractices as well. If, at the entry into the service, certain amount is deducted from every civil servant on the analogy of GP/CP Fund and invested in housing schemes, house can be given to the civil servant on his retirement.
Why each of the ruling regime try to reinvent the wheel? Nothing of the proposed items is new and impractical. Alike things are already enforced in armed forces of the country. Have anyone ever noticed posting/transfers/promotions issues in the Army? If such can be enforced in armed forces why not in civil services.
Dear Ehsan Iqbal sb, enforce these proposals rather replicate the structure of armed forces in civil service and you will never have a structure problem in the governance system again, I guarantee.
Friday, May 8, 2015
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